Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:02:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B0
0xb034…179f
sports · 307 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$318 -21%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$317 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$189
Realized−$317
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses78 / 185
Est. fees paid−$22
Open positions44
Markets (closed)263 / 307
History coverage18d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day84.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 44 History 263 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days−$1
30 days−$317
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No 97¢ 96¢ $53 $53 −$0 (-1%)
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No 93¢ 92¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? Yes 27¢ 28¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+2%)
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score No 54¢ 55¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+1%)
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? No 85¢ 95¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+12%)
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24? No 97¢ 98¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026? Yes 96¢ 89¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-7%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? No 43¢ 40¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-8%)
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No 73¢ 74¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in 2026? Yes 97¢ 97¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026? No 96¢ 96¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-0%)
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? No 50¢ 48¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-5%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score No 56¢ 52¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-6%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Yes 51¢ 48¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-7%)
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No 93¢ 96¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+3%)
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni by December 31, 2026? Yes 99¢ 98¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? Yes 54¢ 52¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? No 75¢ 72¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026? Yes 97¢ 92¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-5%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 Under 11¢ 10¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-14%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Over 25¢ 18¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-26%)
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? No 94¢ 99¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+5%)
Israel closes its airspace by June 11? No 96¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+4%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 52¢ 54¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+3%)
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in June 2026? No 99¢ 99¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Israel closes its airspace by June 10? Jun 11 $2 $0 +3%
Israel closes its airspace by June 11? Jun 10 $2 $0 +4%
Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in May? Jun 05 $1 $0 -1%
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May? Jun 05 $2 $0 -1%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 01 $1 $0 +31%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 01 $1 $0 +40%
Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime? Jun 01 $9 −$4 -38%
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) Jun 01 $8 +$2 +22%
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-27? May 28 $1 $0 +26%
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5 May 27 $1 $0 +28%
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5 May 27 $2 +$1 +63%
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-05-26? May 27 $2 $0 -11%
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-05-26? May 27 $1 $0 -0%
Will CD Palestino vs. CD Riestra end in a draw? May 27 $1 +$1 +69%
Will LDU de Quito vs. Club Always Ready end in a draw? May 27 $2 $0 -3%
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-26? May 27 $4 −$2 -51%
Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-05-26? May 27 $10 −$8 -78%
Will Club Always Ready win on 2026-05-26? May 27 $5 −$3 -55%
Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5) May 27 $3 +$1 +29%
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers May 27 $1 $0 +46%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants May 27 $2 +$2 +95%
Spread: Estudiantes de La Plata (-1.5) May 27 $2 −$1 -32%
Spread: Thunder (-8.5) May 27 $1 +$1 +143%
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) May 27 $3 +$1 +44%
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) May 27 $16 +$5 +31%
Spread: LDU de Quito (-1.5) May 27 $1 $0 +1%
Spread: Millonarios FC (-1.5) May 27 $1 $0 +2%
Spread: São Paulo FC (-1.5) May 27 $1 $0 +4%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5) May 27 $1 $0 -0%
São Paulo FC vs. CA Boston River: O/U 4.5 May 27 $1 $0 +8%
Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-1.5) May 27 $2 −$1 -46%
Grêmio FBPA vs. Montevideo City Torque: O/U 4.5 May 27 $1 $0 +16%
São Paulo FC vs. CA Boston River: Both Teams to Score May 27 $1 $0 +17%
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5) May 27 $1 $0 +23%
Spread: CA Lanús (-1.5) May 27 $5 −$4 -74%
CA Lanús vs. Mirassol FC: Both Teams to Score May 27 $2 −$1 -30%
CA Lanús vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 1.5 May 27 $4 −$3 -62%
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) May 27 $2 $0 -24%
LDU de Quito vs. Club Always Ready: O/U 4.5 May 27 $3 −$1 -41%
São Paulo FC vs. CA Boston River: O/U 3.5 May 27 $4 −$2 -45%
CD Palestino vs. CD Riestra: O/U 2.5 May 27 $1 +$1 +81%
Millonarios FC vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 4.5 May 27 $4 −$1 -33%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5) May 27 $1 +$3 +273%
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5) May 27 $4 $0 +2%
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) May 27 $4 +$3 +72%
Little Rock: Aidan Mayo vs Edas Butvilas May 27 $17 −$14 -82%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers May 27 $2 +$4 +205%
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox May 27 $5 +$11 +211%
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5) May 27 $2 +$1 +50%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) May 27 $5 −$3 -68%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 80% −$266
other 12% −$52
world 7% $0
politics 2% −$1
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match? BUY No 99¢ $1 1h
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24? BUY No 97¢ $1 11h
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24? BUY No 97¢ $1 11h
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24? BUY No 97¢ $1 11h
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24? BUY No 97¢ $1 12h
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24? BUY No 97¢ $1 13h
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? BUY No 92¢ $1 23h
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? BUY No 93¢ $1 23h
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? BUY No 84¢ $1 45h
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? BUY No 85¢ $1 45h
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? BUY No 84¢ $1 45h
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? BUY No 85¢ $1 45h
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? BUY No 85¢ $1 45h
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? BUY No 97¢ $1 45h
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? BUY No 85¢ $1 45h
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? BUY No 98¢ $1 45h
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? BUY No 97¢ $1 46h
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, BUY No 98¢ $1 46h
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? BUY No 91¢ $1 46h
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? BUY No 97¢ $1 46h
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, BUY No 98¢ $1 46h
Israel closes its airspace by June 11? BUY No 97¢ $1 46h
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? BUY No 98¢ $1 46h
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? BUY No 97¢ $1 46h
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? BUY No 97¢ $1 46h
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? BUY No 97¢ $1 46h
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? BUY No 97¢ $1 46h
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? BUY No 97¢ $1 46h
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? BUY No 97¢ $1 46h
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? BUY No 97¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-38.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +3.3% -6.6% 100% 0% -6.6%
≤30d 263 -31.8% -38.3% 30% 25% -35.3%
≤90d 263 -31.8% -38.3% 30% 25% -35.3%
all 263 -31.8% -38.3% 30% 25% -35.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover84.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -38.3% 25% -35.3%
10% ← realistic here -44.2% 20% -41.5%
15% -49.6% 15% -47.1%
20% -54.5% 11% -52.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $189.31 · official $189.31 (match) · 1667 history records