trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | +65.0% | +49.3% | 100% | 100% | +49.3% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -16.2% | -24.2% | 62% | 46% | -14.9% |
| all | 13 | -16.2% | -24.2% | 62% | 46% | -14.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -24.2% | 46% | -14.9% |
| 10% | -31.4% | 38% | -23.1% |
| 15% | -38.1% | 31% | -30.5% |
| 20% | -44.1% | 15% | -37.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 91¢ | 90¢ | $300 | $298 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 81¢ | 80¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month? | Up | 78¢ | 78¢ | $60 | $60 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | No | 86¢ | 86¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 88¢ | 88¢ | $39 | $39 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 24? | Yes | 66¢ | 65¢ | $33 | $32 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 7¢ | 6¢ | $36 | $26 | −$10 (-27%) |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | No | 26¢ | 32¢ | $21 | $25 | +$4 (+21%) |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,400 by end of June? (copy) | No | 80¢ | 52¢ | $32 | $21 | −$11 (-34%) |
| Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Yes | 28¢ | 28¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 19? | Down | 31¢ | 28¢ | $5 | $4 | −$1 (-11%) |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 93¢ | 93¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | May 31 | $30 | +$20 | +65% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET | May 03 | $5 | $0 | +8% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET | May 03 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | May 03 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? | May 03 | $31 | −$30 | -96% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | May 03 | $30 | +$4 | +12% |
| Will Trump say "Proud" during astronaut greeting? | May 03 | $47 | +$5 | +10% |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April? | Apr 29 | $9 | +$3 | +35% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026? | Apr 26 | $100 | +$36 | +36% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | Apr 25 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | Apr 24 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | Apr 24 | $20 | +$7 | +36% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | Apr 24 | $5 | +$4 | +87% |