Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T09:02:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
B0 0xb02f…6bd3 crypto 449 markets active 1h ago coverage 56d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$473 (+1%) realized +$473 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR20%break-even
Win rate89%399W / 50L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$87per market
Trades / day9.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$198
7 days+$134
14 days+$281
30 days+$178
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$263
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 52 +2.7% -7.0% 90% 33% -7.0%
≤30d 272 +0.5% -9.1% 87% 22% -8.8%
≤90d 449 +0.6% -9.0% 89% 20% -8.9%
all 449 +0.6% -9.0% 89% 20% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover9.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.0% 20% -8.9%
10% -17.7% 4% -17.6%
15% -25.7% 0% -25.6%
20% -32.9% 0% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
73% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$46 · ×0.14 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.11 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

56d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$473
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses399 / 50
Open positions0
Markets (closed)449 / 449
History coverage56d
Avg bet$87
Trades / day9.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 449 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 18 $92 +$13 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 18 $91 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 18 $92 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 18 $94 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 18 $91 +$12 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 18 $92 +$12 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 18 $90 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 18 $91 +$7 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 18 $91 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $91 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 16 $92 −$16 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 16 $92 +$15 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 16 $91 +$8 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 16 $91 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 16 $91 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 16 $91 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 16 $91 +$8 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 16 $92 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 16 $91 +$12 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 16 $95 −$69 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 16 $91 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 16 $94 +$21 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 16 $95 +$12 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 16 $95 +$17 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 16 $92 −$45 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 16 $105 +$36 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $105 −$60 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 16 $103 +$24 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $93 +$14 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 16 $101 +$30 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 16 $93 +$15 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $91 +$16 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 16 $91 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 16 $92 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $97 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 16 $92 +$12 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $93 +$14 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 16 $91 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 16 $91 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 16 $91 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 16 $94 +$21 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 16 $92 +$9 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 16 $91 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 16 $92 +$6 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 16 $91 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $91 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 16 $91 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $91 +$7 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $91 −$88 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 16 $92 +$5 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $92 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $91 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $92 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $94 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $91 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $92 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $90 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $91 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $91 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $91 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $76 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $92 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $92 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $91 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $91 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $91 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $91 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $91 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $92 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $91 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Up 24¢ $26 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $95 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $91 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $94 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $95 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $95 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $47 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $92 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $105 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $45 41h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 921 history records