Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:15:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B0
0xb02e…90a5
weather · 690 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$16 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$17 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses608 / 81
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)689 / 690
History coverage57d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day25.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 689 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days+$11
14 days+$7
30 days+$39
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 13? No 89¢ 94¢ $7 $8 +$0 (+6%)
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 7? No 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 26? No 93¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 17? No 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 22°C on May 5? No 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12? No 86¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on May 14? No 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 8? No 76¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 1? No 90¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 7? No 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on Ju Jun 12 $9 +$1 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 $0 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 12? Jun 12 $8 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 11? Jun 11 $6 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on June 11? Jun 11 $6 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on Ju Jun 11 $6 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 11? Jun 11 $6 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 11? Jun 11 $6 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on June 11? Jun 11 $2 $0 +16%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 11? Jun 11 $7 +$1 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 11? Jun 11 $6 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 11? Jun 11 $2 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 42°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on June 11? Jun 11 $2 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 11? Jun 11 $3 +$1 +21%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 11? Jun 11 $6 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 11? Jun 11 $6 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 11? Jun 11 $2 $0 +18%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on June 11? Jun 11 $6 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 11? Jun 11 $2 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 11? Jun 11 $2 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 11? Jun 11 $2 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 10? Jun 11 $6 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 10? Jun 10 $2 $0 +12%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 10? Jun 10 $3 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 10? Jun 10 $8 +$1 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on June 10? Jun 10 $8 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 10? Jun 10 $6 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 10? Jun 10 $5 +$1 +14%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 10? Jun 10 $6 +$1 +11%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 10? Jun 10 $2 $0 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 10? Jun 10 $6 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 10? Jun 10 $2 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 10? Jun 10 $9 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 9? Jun 10 $6 $0 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 9? Jun 09 $6 +$1 +12%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 9? Jun 09 $2 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 9? Jun 09 $2 $0 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on June 9? Jun 09 $6 $0 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 9? Jun 09 $7 +$1 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 9? Jun 09 $6 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 9? Jun 09 $2 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 99% −$16
sports 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 13? BUY No 90¢ $1 53m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on Ju SELL No 100¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 13? BUY No 89¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on Ju BUY No 97¢ $1 4h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on Ju BUY No 93¢ $8 4h
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $2 9h
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 12? BUY No 96¢ $2 11h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $3 16h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $8 16h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $2 18h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 12? BUY No 96¢ $8 19h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $2 19h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 12? BUY No 95¢ $2 20h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 12? BUY No 96¢ $2 20h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $2 21h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 12? BUY No 91¢ $1 21h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $2 21h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $2 22h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 12? BUY No 89¢ $2 22h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 12? BUY No 96¢ $2 23h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 12? BUY No 95¢ $2 23h
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $2 24h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 12? BUY No 91¢ $2 24h
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on June 12? BUY No 95¢ $2 25h
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $6 26h
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $6 28h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on Ju SELL No 100¢ $6 29h
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $6 30h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on Ju BUY No 96¢ $6 31h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $6 31h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 111 +1.6% -8.1% 94% 16% -7.5%
≤30d 374 +2.7% -7.1% 93% 14% -6.7%
≤90d 689 -0.5% -10.0% 88% 16% -10.2%
all 689 -0.5% -10.0% 88% 16% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 16% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 4% -18.8%
15% -26.5% 2% -26.6%
20% -33.7% 1% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.61 · official $7.61 (match) · 1473 history records