trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +1.1% | -8.5% | 33% | 0% | -9.2% |
| ≤30d | 17 | +1.6% | -8.0% | 53% | 12% | -8.4% |
| ≤90d | 17 | +1.6% | -8.0% | 53% | 12% | -8.4% |
| all | 26 | -6.2% | -15.1% | 62% | 8% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.1% | 8% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -23.3% | 0% | -18.1% |
| 15% | -30.7% | 0% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -37.5% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 22 | $54 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 21 | $91 | +$1 | +1% |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | Jun 20 | $56 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 19 | $62 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 19 | $9 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 17 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 07 | $61 | $0 | -0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 06 | $12 | +$1 | +4% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 05 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 05 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 04 | $56 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 04 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 30 | $49 | +$7 | +14% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 28 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 28 | $54 | −$6 | -11% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 26 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 26 | $53 | +$7 | +13% |
| Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 11 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | Dec 11 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025? | Dec 11 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 24 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Elon tweet 300–324 times May 23–30? | May 31 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope? | May 09 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Elon tweet less than 400 times March 14-21? | Mar 21 | $9 | −$9 | -99% |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025? | Mar 17 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 'Novocaine' gross more than 11m on opening weekend? | Mar 15 | $14 | $0 | +1% |