Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T13:30:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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B0 0xb027…97f0 crypto 1249 markets active 0h ago coverage 44d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 44d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$181 (-2%) realized −$174 · open −$7
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR11%break-even
Win rate91%1154W / 112L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day33.5pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$27
7 days−$74
14 days−$61
30 days−$102
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$109
other 0% +$1
sports 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 208 -8.7% -17.4% 88% 7% -11.6%
≤30d 1127 -2.8% -12.1% 92% 10% -10.4%
≤90d 1266 -2.8% -12.1% 91% 11% -10.6%
all 1266 -2.8% -12.1% 91% 11% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover33.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.1% 11% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -20.5% 5% -19.2%
15% -28.2% 2% -27.0%
20% -35.2% 1% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
86% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$5 · ×0.07 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.75 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

44d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$174
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses1154 / 112
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1266 / 1249
History coverage44d ⚠
Avg bet$9
Trades / day33.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 1266 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$7 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 34 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 20 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 20 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 20 $9 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 20 $8 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 20 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 20 $7 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 20 $6 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 20 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 20 $29 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 20 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 20 $29 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 20 $29 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 20 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 20 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 20 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 20 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 20 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 20 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 20 $29 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 20 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 20 $29 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 20 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 20 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 20 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 20 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 20 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 20 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 20 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 20 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 20 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 20 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 20 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 20 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 20 $18 +$2 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $8 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $9 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $8 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $9 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $7 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $29 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $29 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.05 · official $7.15 · 3500 history records