Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:43:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B0
0xb021…ebd9
crypto · 82 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$14,017 +82%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$13,980 · open +$37
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$303
Realized+$13,980
Unrealized+$37
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses332 / 243
Open positions3
Markets (closed)575 / 82
History coverage1d
Avg bet$209
Trades / day3397.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 575 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13,980
7 days+$13,980
14 days+$13,980
30 days+$13,980
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 71¢ 58¢ $134 $111 −$23 (-17%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 26¢ 42¢ $54 $88 +$34 (+62%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 75¢ 58¢ $78 $61 −$18 (-22%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 28¢ 42¢ $24 $35 +$11 (+48%)
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No 48¢ 22¢ $15 $7 −$8 (-53%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 29¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+243%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 88¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 25¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 39¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 49¢ $185 $0 −$185 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 27¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 58¢ $218 $0 −$218 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 24¢ $87 $0 −$87 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 30¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 50¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 21¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 39¢ $76 $0 −$76 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 63¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 27¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 25¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 35¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 15¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 19¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 25¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 41¢ $139 $0 −$139 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$84 +37146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$96 -21299%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$55 +710%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$42 +356%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $185 −$180 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$19 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $218 −$375 -172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $87 +$37 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$77 +354%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$29 -108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$49 +633%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $76 −$76 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $68 −$130 -192%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $64 −$64 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$50 +295%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$115 +1150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$200 +425%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $49 +$91 +185%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $139 −$139 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$6 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $41 +$33 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$45 +506%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$70 +1248%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$150 +1300%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $60 +$75 +125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$17 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $71 −$29 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$295 +4600%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $144 −$73 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $18 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$12 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$62 -205%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$380 +1532%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $27 +$145 +534%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$15 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $46 −$46 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$129 -1015%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $41 +$269 +651%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$38 +155%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$101 -651%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$64 +634%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $80 −$195 -245%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$62 +304%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $63 −$13 -21%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$80 +3226%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $42 +$16 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$339
other 0% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $20 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $20 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $9 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $11 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $0 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $9 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $7 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $7 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $0 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $9 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $8 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $8 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $6 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $0 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $0 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $8 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $7 1m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)+335.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 575 +380.9% +335.1% 58% 54% +31.2%
≤30d 575 +380.9% +335.1% 58% 54% +31.2%
≤90d 575 +380.9% +335.1% 58% 54% +31.2%
all 575 +380.9% +335.1% 58% 54% +31.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3397.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +335.1% 54% +31.2%
10% ← realistic here +293.5% 52% +18.6%
15% +255.4% 51% +7.1%
20% +220.6% 48% -3.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $302.83 · official $298.22 · 3500 history records