Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T17:44:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B0 0xb020…5eab crypto 42 markets active 1h ago coverage 2d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$3 (+3%) realized +$3 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR24%break-even
Win rate88%37W / 5L
Drawdown89%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day22.6pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 86% $0
sports 14% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 +1.0% -8.6% 88% 24% -8.7%
≤30d 42 +1.0% -8.6% 88% 24% -8.7%
≤90d 42 +1.0% -8.6% 88% 24% -8.7%
all 42 +1.0% -8.6% 88% 24% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover22.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.6% 24% -8.7%
10% ← realistic here -17.3% 14% -17.4%
15% -25.3% 5% -25.4%
20% -32.6% 5% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 27% · top 2 36% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
70% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +20% → late -18% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.15 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.11 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses37 / 5
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)42 / 42
History coverage2d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day22.6
Drawdown89%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 42 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO7) - MPL Ind Jun 14 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO7) - Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 28h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO7) - MPL Ind BUY Bigetron by Vitality 84¢ $2 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 33h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 109 history records