Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:39:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B0
0xb020…8793
crypto · 15 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$20 +23%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$20 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$20
Realized+$20
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses6 / 7
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)13 / 15
History coverage137d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown64%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 2 History 13 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$31
7 days+$31
14 days+$31
30 days+$31
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 65¢ 64¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? Yes 73¢ 71¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
XRP Up or Down - March 7, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $14 +$13 +89%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $7 +$4 +57%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $8 −$4 -50%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $9 +$16 +172%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $6 +$3 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Mar 08 $9 −$9 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Mar 08 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Mar 08 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 7, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Mar 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Mar 07 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Mar 07 $2 +$1 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Mar 07 $1 −$1 -77%
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Mar 07 $4 $0 -4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 59% +$26
crypto 22% −$11
sports 20% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 90¢ $27 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Over 99¢ $11 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 62¢ $7 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $6 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 28¢ $4 5h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $8 9h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $8 9h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 34¢ $4 24h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 65¢ $10 27h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $5 28h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $9 28h
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? BUY Yes 73¢ $10 31h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $6 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $9 96d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 96d
XRP Up or Down - March 7, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 96d
XRP Up or Down - March 7, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 96d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 97d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 97d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 97d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 97d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Up 12¢ $0 97d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 97d
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 64¢ $4 97d
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 67¢ $2 137d
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 67¢ $2 137d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-13.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +62.1% +46.6% 80% 80% +53.2%
≤30d 5 +62.1% +46.6% 80% 80% +53.2%
≤90d 5 +62.1% +46.6% 80% 80% +53.2%
all 13 -4.8% -13.8% 46% 46% +17.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.8% 46% +17.1%
10% -22.1% 46% +5.9%
15% -29.6% 46% -4.3%
20% -36.5% 38% -13.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19.65 · official $19.65 (match) · 34 history records