Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T00:17:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7.0
score
B0 0xb014…a357 crypto 184 markets active 0h ago coverage 723d
COPY-WORTHYcopy this crypto specialistFresh edge
Total PnL +$72,451 (+23%) realized +$70,177 · open +$2,274
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +38% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +20% what you keep after slip
Net edge+20%after slip
Net WR61%break-even
Win rate70%114W / 49L
Whale WR76%big bets
Drawdown13%max
Avg bet$1,705per market
Trades / day1.9pace
Fees−$703est.
Kalshi-fit95%portable
Net worth$32,675now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4,251
7 days+$4,251
14 days+$4,251
30 days+$30,380
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 83% +$71,883
sports 13% +$34
other 4% −$6,490
politics 0% +$208
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)+24.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 +29.8% +17.4% 68% 60% +0.6%
≤30d 106 +37.0% +23.9% 67% 57% +3.9%
≤90d 152 +41.9% +28.4% 70% 62% +14.1%
all 163 +38.1% +24.9% 70% 61% +10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +24.9% 61% +10.1%
10% +13.0% 48% -0.4%
15% +2.0% 42% -10.0%
20% -8.0% 36% -18.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +27% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
11% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +38% · $-wt +23% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 76% (≥$2,405) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +35% → late +41% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
6.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$1,039 vs −$1,124 · ×0.92 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×2.15 per $1 lost it wins $2.15
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

723d coverage
Net worth$32,675
Realized+$70,177
Unrealized+$2,274
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses114 / 49
Whale WR (big bets)76%
Est. fees paid−$703
Open positions21
Markets (closed)163 / 184
History coverage723d
Avg bet$1,705
Trades / day1.9
Drawdown13%
Kalshi-fit95%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 21 History 163 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 49¢ 50¢ $4,418 $4,463 +$45 (+1%)
France vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5 Under 66¢ 84¢ $3,300 $4,225 +$925 (+28%)
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Over 52¢ 52¢ $3,317 $3,349 +$32 (+1%)
Spread: France (-2.5) France 44¢ 66¢ $2,200 $3,275 +$1,075 (+49%)
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5 Over 28¢ 40¢ $2,280 $3,160 +$880 (+39%)
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? Yes 29¢ 30¢ $2,900 $2,950 +$50 (+2%)
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals No 50¢ 48¢ $2,508 $2,432 −$75 (-3%)
Jordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score Yes 48¢ 48¢ $2,400 $2,375 −$25 (-1%)
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5 Under 43¢ 60¢ $1,299 $1,828 +$529 (+41%)
Bad Homburg Open: Eva Lys vs Emma Navarro Emma Navarro 63¢ 62¢ $1,575 $1,562 −$12 (-1%)
France vs. Iraq: France O/U 7.5 Corners Under 49¢ 94¢ $707 $1,356 +$649 (+92%)
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Over 29¢ 28¢ $1,083 $1,053 −$30 (-3%)
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Under 43¢ 18¢ $515 $209 −$305 (-59%)
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 21¢ 20¢ $182 $177 −$4 (-2%)
France vs. Iraq: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Over 55¢ 12¢ $449 $103 −$346 (-77%)
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals Yes 54¢ 52¢ $54 $52 −$3 (-5%)
France vs. Iraq: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Under 50¢ 88¢ $22 $38 +$16 (+75%)
Norway vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners Over 44¢ 62¢ $25 $36 +$11 (+42%)
France vs. Iraq: O/U 12.5 Total Corners Over 23¢ 4¢ $64 $10 −$54 (-85%)
Amine Gouiri: 1+ goals Yes 31¢ 27¢ $8 $7 −$1 (-13%)
Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 5.5 Corners Over 43¢ 46¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+6%)
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Over 64¢ 64¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Fares Chaïbi: 1+ goals Yes 11¢ 14¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+27%)
Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $625 $2 −$623 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 41 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 22 $819 −$780 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 22 $1,206 +$951 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 22 $788 +$131 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 22 $1,018 +$127 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 22 $2,026 +$1,250 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 22 $1,175 +$81 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 22 $2,845 +$83 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 22 $856 +$249 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 22 $2,793 +$412 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 22 $2,167 +$404 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 22 $1,218 +$384 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 22 $2,724 −$329 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 22 $1,213 −$1,170 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 22 $1,665 +$203 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 22 $307 +$1,321 +431%
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 6.5 Corners Jun 22 $1,910 +$2,090 +109%
Agustín Canobbio: 1+ goals Jun 22 $11 +$41 +365%
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5 Corners Jun 21 $216 −$213 -99%
Darwin Núñez: 1+ goals Jun 21 $558 −$546 -98%
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 21 $9,928 −$261 -3%
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners Jun 21 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw? Jun 21 $1,607 −$1,074 -67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 21 $603 +$125 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 21 $588 +$494 +84%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 21 $452 +$283 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 07 $1,674 +$160 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 02 $2,955 +$890 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 02 $1,168 −$1,110 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 02 $1,737 +$589 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 02 $575 +$264 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 02 $1,676 +$166 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 02 $556 +$11 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 02 $556 +$17 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 02 $1,673 +$932 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 01 $479 −$222 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 01 $1,527 +$892 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 01 $2,604 +$1,534 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 01 $236 −$222 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 01 $1,144 +$857 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 01 $4,578 +$477 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 01 $3,508 +$165 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 01 $1,950 +$1,019 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 01 $1,161 −$1,110 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 01 $4,049 +$1,193 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 01 $1,155 +$248 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 01 $236 +$2,134 +904%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 01 $3,603 +$1,848 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 01 $1,415 −$1,351 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 01 $465 +$83 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET May 28 $2,324 +$1,106 +48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? BUY Yes 29¢ $1,481 6m
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? BUY Yes 29¢ $1,481 7m
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals BUY Yes 54¢ $33 17m
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals BUY Yes 55¢ $22 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $410 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $245 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $164 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $405 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $400 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $402 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $393 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $395 1h
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals BUY No 50¢ $1,694 1h
Fares Chaïbi: 1+ goals BUY Yes 11¢ $2 1h
Amine Gouiri: 1+ goals BUY Yes 31¢ $8 1h
Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 5.5 Corners BUY Over 43¢ $5 1h
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Over 30¢ $344 1h
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Over 29¢ $763 1h
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 64¢ $4 1h
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 52¢ $3,365 1h
Jordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $2,437 1h
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals BUY No 50¢ $851 1h
Norway vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners BUY Over 44¢ $13 1h
Norway vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners BUY Over 43¢ $12 1h
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 43¢ $523 1h
Spread: France (-2.5) BUY France 44¢ $2,237 2h
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 27¢ $1,380 2h
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 31¢ $949 2h
France vs. Iraq: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Under 50¢ $22 2h
France vs. Iraq: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 52¢ $4 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $32,675.11 · official $32,514.39 (match) · 1517 history records