trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 6 | +11.4% | +0.8% | 83% | 33% | -10.6% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +5.0% | -5.0% | 82% | 55% | -12.9% |
| all | 11 | +5.0% | -5.0% | 82% | 55% | -12.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -5.0% | 55% | -12.9% |
| 10% | -14.1% | 27% | -21.2% |
| 15% | -22.4% | 18% | -28.8% |
| 20% | -30.0% | 9% | -35.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 68¢ | 90¢ | $2,823 | $3,736 | +$913 (+32%) |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 73¢ | 68¢ | $1,488 | $1,388 | −$100 (-7%) |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 80¢ | 93¢ | $884 | $1,025 | +$141 (+16%) |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 85¢ | 86¢ | $521 | $524 | +$3 (+1%) |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | No | 12¢ | 10¢ | $173 | $137 | −$36 (-21%) |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 81¢ | 88¢ | $120 | $131 | +$11 (+9%) |
| Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? | No | 87¢ | 93¢ | $102 | $109 | +$7 (+7%) |
| Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $85 | $87 | +$2 (+2%) |
| Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 96¢ | 97¢ | $14 | $14 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 0¢ | 1¢ | $2 | $3 | +$1 (+83%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mikel Arteta be appointed as manager of Real Madrid? | Jun 11 | $110 | +$5 | +5% |
| Will Alexander Sorloth be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga s | May 26 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga seaso | May 26 | $247 | +$82 | +33% |
| Will Dodi Lukebakio be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga seas | May 24 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | May 23 | $190 | −$131 | -69% |
| Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026? | May 23 | $38 | +$37 | +98% |
| Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026? | May 17 | $105 | +$13 | +12% |
| Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? | May 17 | $110 | +$12 | +11% |
| Will France win Eurovision 2026? | May 17 | $104 | +$19 | +18% |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | May 17 | $173 | +$78 | +45% |
| Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid? | Apr 26 | $162 | −$162 | -100% |