Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T19:29:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.5
score
B0 0xb011…38c1 crypto 34 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$0 (+0%) realized −$11 · open +$11
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR30%break-even
Win rate33%11W / 22L
Drawdown31%max
Avg bet$14per market
Trades / day39.0pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$11now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% +$138
sports 1% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-5.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 +4.0% -5.9% 33% 30% +15.8%
≤30d 33 +4.0% -5.9% 33% 30% +15.8%
≤90d 33 +4.0% -5.9% 33% 30% +15.8%
all 33 +4.0% -5.9% 33% 30% +15.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover39.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.9% 30% +15.8%
10% ← realistic here -14.9% 30% +4.7%
15% -23.1% 30% -5.4%
20% -30.6% 30% -14.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 24% · top 2 45% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +28% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
9% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +4% · $-wt +28% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -26% → late +32% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$33 vs −$12 · ×2.74 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.51 per $1 lost it wins $1.51
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$11
Realized−$11
Unrealized+$11
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses11 / 22
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)33 / 34
History coverage1d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day39.0
Drawdown31%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 33 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 0¢ 56¢ $0 $11 +$11 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 17 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 22 $5 +$7 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 22 $26 +$2 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 22 $26 −$26 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 22 $5 +$20 +373%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 22 $26 −$25 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 22 $5 +$8 +172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 22 $26 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 22 $26 +$87 +331%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 22 $16 +$28 +181%
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? Jun 22 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 22 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 22 $26 +$41 +155%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 22 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 22 $5 +$9 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 22 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 22 $26 +$40 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 22 $26 +$74 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 22 $27 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 22 $26 +$45 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 22 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 22 $11 −$11 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 18¢ $12 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $5 10m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $28 12m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $26 13m
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $5 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $5 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $25 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $5 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $26 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $26 27m
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $26 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $26 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $16 57m
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? BUY Yes 16¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $67 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $27 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.67 · official $11.83 · 52 history records