Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T04:55:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B0 0xb00b…111d crypto 22 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ bot/MM pace (86 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL +$161 (+28%) realized +$161 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +28% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -1% what you keep after slip
Net edge-1%after slip
Net WR64%break-even
Win rate64%14W / 8L
Drawdown36%max
Avg bet$26per market
Trades / day86.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$157
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (86 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)+15.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 +28.1% +15.9% 64% 64% +15.4%
≤30d 22 +28.1% +15.9% 64% 64% +15.4%
≤90d 22 +28.1% +15.9% 64% 64% +15.4%
all 22 +28.1% +15.9% 64% 64% +15.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover86.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +15.9% 64% +15.4%
10% ← realistic here +4.8% 64% +4.3%
15% -5.3% 59% -5.7%
20% -14.6% 59% -15.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 14% · top 2 25% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +28% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +28% · $-wt +28% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late +60% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$26 vs −$27 · ×0.99 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.74 per $1 lost it wins $1.74
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$161
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses14 / 8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)22 / 22
History coverage1d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day86.0
Drawdown36%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 22 Trades
no open positions (8 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 25 $20 +$26 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 25 $29 +$20 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 25 $39 −$38 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 25 $29 +$25 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 25 $48 −$47 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 25 $10 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 25 $30 +$18 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 25 $42 +$51 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 25 $32 +$42 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 25 $21 +$34 +161%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 25 $31 +$21 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 25 $32 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 25 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 25 $31 +$30 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 25 $31 −$29 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 25 $8 +$6 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 25 $30 +$28 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 25 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 25 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 25 $29 +$42 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 25 $16 +$24 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 25 $16 −$16 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $47 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $10 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $10 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Down 79¢ $49 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $54 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $13 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 86 history records