trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $4,984 | −$4,884 | -98% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $10,398 | +$4,748 | +46% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 04 | $19,919 | −$11,346 | -57% |
| LoL: Crusaders vs Bubliki (BO5) - LPLOL Playoffs | Jun 02 | $480 | −$480 | -100% |
| LoL: Crusaders vs Bubliki - Game 3 Winner | Jun 02 | $322 | +$371 | +115% |
| LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Jun 02 | $3,092 | −$3,024 | -98% |
| LoL: The Bandits vs mCon esports (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffs | Jun 02 | $490 | +$430 | +88% |
| LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Jun 02 | $3,002 | +$1,100 | +37% |
| LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner | Jun 02 | $3,237 | −$3,188 | -98% |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Jun 01 | $2,564 | +$9,957 | +388% |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs | Jun 01 | $3,152 | −$2,539 | -81% |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner | Jun 01 | $4,507 | −$256 | -6% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET | Jun 01 | $1,029 | −$514 | -50% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET | Jun 01 | $1,040 | −$1,000 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | Jun 01 | $1,135 | −$1,085 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | Jun 01 | $1,014 | +$227 | +22% |
| LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs | May 31 | $2,947 | +$817 | +28% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | May 31 | $1,755 | −$1,700 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET | May 31 | $1,125 | −$1,100 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | May 31 | $210 | −$200 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | May 31 | $102 | +$41 | +40% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | May 31 | $1,011 | +$185 | +18% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | May 31 | $1,120 | +$415 | +37% |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner | May 31 | $1,499 | +$2,468 | +165% |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | May 31 | $6,880 | +$1,149 | +17% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -27.2% | -34.1% | 50% | 50% | -10.3% |
| ≤30d | 25 | +5.7% | -4.4% | 48% | 48% | -20.9% |
| ≤90d | 25 | +5.7% | -4.4% | 48% | 48% | -20.9% |
| all | 25 | +5.7% | -4.4% | 48% | 48% | -20.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -4.4% | 48% | -20.9% |
| 10% | -13.5% | 40% | -28.4% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -21.9% | 32% | -35.3% |
| 20% | -29.5% | 20% | -41.7% |