Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T20:34:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B0 0xb002…82aa crypto 116 markets active 1h ago coverage 9d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$3 (+0%) realized +$3 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR43%break-even
Win rate49%57W / 59L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day44.0pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit93%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$23
7 days−$10
14 days−$33
30 days−$33
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 90% −$27
other 6% +$37
sports 4% −$44
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-19.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -4.3% -13.4% 48% 43% -16.1%
≤30d 116 -11.3% -19.8% 49% 43% -12.4%
≤90d 116 -11.3% -19.8% 49% 43% -12.4%
all 116 -11.3% -19.8% 49% 43% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover44.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.8% 43% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here -27.5% 41% -20.8%
15% -34.5% 34% -28.4%
20% -40.9% 24% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 17% · top 2 23% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
12% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +11% → late -34% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$6 · ×0.94 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.91 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

9d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses57 / 59
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)116 / 116
History coverage9d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day44.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 116 Trades
no open positions (50 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? Jun 29 $12 +$21 +172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 29 $3 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 29 $3 +$3 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 29 $3 +$1 +21%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 28 $5 $0 -7%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? Jun 28 $2 +$3 +129%
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw? Jun 28 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 27 $1 +$1 +90%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winner Jun 27 $36 −$36 -100%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? Jun 27 $18 +$12 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 27 $4 +$2 +60%
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw? Jun 27 $7 −$3 -35%
Will France win on 2026-06-26? Jun 26 $11 +$7 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 25 $1 −$1 -94%
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25? Jun 25 $10 +$1 +10%
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? Jun 25 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 25 $8 −$7 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 25 $2 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 25 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 23 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 23 $2 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 23 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 22 $3 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 22 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 21 $3 $0 +2%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? Jun 21 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 21 $8 −$4 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 21 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 21 $33 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 21 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 21 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 21 $4 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 21 $9 +$4 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 21 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 21 $24 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 21 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 21 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 21 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 21 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 21 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 21 $34 −$11 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 21 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 20 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 20 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 20 $9 −$3 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 20 $9 +$5 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 20 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 20 $27 −$26 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? SELL Yes 100¢ $33 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? BUY Yes 30¢ $2 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? BUY Yes 38¢ $5 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? BUY Yes 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 22h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 11¢ $5 22h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $5 24h
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw? BUY Yes 40¢ $5 24h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? BUY Yes 43¢ $2 24h
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 82¢ $36 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 2d
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? SELL Yes 100¢ $30 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 2d
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw? SELL Yes 19¢ $5 2d
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $7 2d
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? BUY Yes 60¢ $18 2d
Will France win on 2026-06-26? BUY Yes 60¢ $11 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 3d
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25? SELL Yes 98¢ $11 3d
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25? BUY Yes 89¢ $10 3d
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? BUY Yes 48¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Up 84¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 427 history records