trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 17% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 17% | 0% | -9.8% |
| all | 26 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 38% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.3% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.0% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -25.9% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.2% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | $35 | $35 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | Jun 23 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Jun 22 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 16 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 15 | $27 | $0 | -0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 14 | $9 | $0 | -4% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 14 | $88 | $0 | -0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 13 | $48 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 12 | $48 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 12 | $16 | +$1 | +5% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | Jun 09 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 09 | $47 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 9? | Jun 09 | $90 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 21 | $2 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Benfica win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 12 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Călin Georgescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Dec 12 | $23 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election? | Jul 16 | $24 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Elon tweet less than 150 times June 6–13? | Jun 13 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Krishna Mathoera be the next president of Suriname after the elec | May 27 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Solana dip to $110 in May? | May 22 | $24 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026? | May 21 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump meet with Putin in Saudi Arabia before June? | May 20 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Democratic Alternative '91 win the most seats in the 2025 Sur | May 20 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1700 in May? | May 19 | $24 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Luxembourg finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5? | May 19 | $22 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? | May 17 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb | May 16 | $22 | $0 | -0% |