trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 43% | 0% | -10.7% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -0.8% | -10.3% | 27% | 0% | -11.0% |
| ≤90d | 18 | +0.5% | -9.0% | 33% | 6% | -10.5% |
| all | 28 | -8.1% | -16.9% | 43% | 7% | -11.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.9% | 7% | -11.6% |
| 10% | -24.8% | 0% | -20.0% |
| 15% | -32.1% | 0% | -27.7% |
| 20% | -38.8% | 0% | -34.8% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 21 | $80 | −$5 | -6% |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | Jun 21 | $45 | +$1 | +3% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | Jun 20 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 20 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 20 | $56 | −$2 | -4% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 18 | $40 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 17 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 26 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | May 24 | $42 | −$3 | -6% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | May 23 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab | May 23 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | May 21 | $3 | $0 | +16% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 21 | $53 | $0 | -0% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | May 20 | $3 | $0 | +2% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | May 20 | $4 | $0 | +2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026? | May 20 | $21 | $0 | -0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 19 | $48 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 19 | $48 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 15 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 15 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Yuki Tsunoda finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship? | Dec 15 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Florian Lipowitz win the Tour de France 2025? | Dec 15 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 24 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $103000 on May 9? | May 10 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government? | Mar 26 | $6 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Elon tweet less than 400 times March 14-21? | Mar 18 | $17 | −$12 | -67% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $91000 and $93000 on Mar 14? | Mar 15 | $17 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 12 | $14 | +$3 | +21% |