Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:55:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AF
0xafca…e666
crypto · 660 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$202 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses357 / 304
Open positions0
Markets (closed)661 / 660
History coverage54d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day60.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 661 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days+$6
14 days−$23
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Down 21¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+379%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$2 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$3 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $18 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$3 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$6 +171%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $16 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$4 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $22 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $18 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$7 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $14 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$6 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$5 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$32
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $8 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $6 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $8 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $11 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $8 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $10 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-15.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 114 -2.9% -12.2% 61% 40% -8.9%
≤30d 221 -0.1% -9.7% 58% 38% -9.2%
≤90d 661 -6.2% -15.1% 54% 43% -7.0%
all 661 -6.2% -15.1% 54% 43% -7.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover60.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.1% 43% -7.0%
10% ← realistic here -23.2% 32% -15.9%
15% -30.6% 23% -24.0%
20% -37.4% 14% -31.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.11 · official $0.00 (match) · 3458 history records