trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +101.0% | +81.9% | 100% | 100% | +81.9% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +101.0% | +81.9% | 100% | 100% | +81.9% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -24.7% | -31.9% | 50% | 25% | -83.5% |
| all | 14 | +22.5% | +10.8% | 86% | 64% | -13.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +10.8% | 64% | -13.7% |
| 10% | +0.2% | 64% | -22.0% |
| 15% | -9.5% | 57% | -29.5% |
| 20% | -18.3% | 21% | -36.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | No | 40¢ | 40¢ | $49 | $48 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04? | Jun 15 | $24 | +$24 | +101% |
| Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30? | Apr 08 | $140 | −$140 | -100% |
| Will SSC Napoli vs. Como 1907 end in a draw? | Apr 08 | $214 | −$214 | -100% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in March 2026? | Apr 08 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will DeepSeek have the second-best AI model at the end of February 202 | Mar 02 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Aston Villa FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw? | Feb 02 | $156 | +$58 | +37% |
| Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Cremonese end in a draw? | Jan 26 | $111 | +$45 | +41% |
| Will Como 1907 vs. AC Milan end in a draw? | Jan 16 | $78 | +$33 | +43% |
| Will Brisbane Roar FC vs. Auckland FC end in a draw? | Jan 11 | $56 | +$22 | +39% |
| Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31? | Jan 02 | $56 | $0 | +0% |
| Will West Ham United FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw? | Dec 28 | $41 | +$15 | +37% |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-20? | Dec 21 | $12 | +$13 | +108% |
| Spread: Knicks (-1.5) | Nov 23 | $90 | +$74 | +82% |
| Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2025-11-21? | Nov 22 | $70 | +$19 | +27% |