Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:20:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AF
0xafc2…d32e
crypto · 672 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$364 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$364 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$364
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses403 / 269
Whale WR (big bets)75%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)672 / 672
History coverage506d
Avg bet$55
Trades / day2.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 0 History 672 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$53
7 days−$970
14 days−$964
30 days−$910
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday? Yes 35¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Eric Cole win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$5 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $23 +$6 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $176 +$29 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$11 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $114 +$25 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $104 +$16 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $102 +$52 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$34 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$26 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$11 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$6 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$8 +398%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$11 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $13 −$3 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$3 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 09 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 09 $17 +$5 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 09 $8 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 09 $14 −$2 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 09 $25 −$7 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 09 $19 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 09 $17 +$7 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 08 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 08 $6 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 08 $17 +$12 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 08 $8 −$8 -96%
Will JT Poston win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workd Jun 07 $501 −$393 -78%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 60% +$56
other 13% −$781
culture 7% +$143
world 7% −$112
tech 6% +$243
politics 5% +$205
sports 1% −$117
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $51 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $51 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $10 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 26¢ $10 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $10 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $10 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $52 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $52 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $52 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $52 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $10 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $10 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-19.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 101 -28.9% -35.7% 42% 38% -37.0%
≤30d 304 -16.4% -24.4% 44% 40% -17.3%
≤90d 617 -12.6% -20.9% 60% 32% -14.3%
all 672 -10.8% -19.3% 60% 33% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.3% 33% -10.4%
10% -27.0% 22% -19.0%
15% -34.1% 18% -26.8%
20% -40.5% 15% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1631 history records