trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | +1.4% | -8.3% | 44% | 22% | -10.5% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +1.1% | -8.5% | 36% | 18% | -10.3% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +1.1% | -8.5% | 36% | 18% | -10.3% |
| all | 27 | +3.7% | -6.2% | 48% | 11% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.2% | 11% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -15.2% | 4% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -23.4% | 4% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -30.9% | 4% | -33.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 16 | $38 | −$1 | -3% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 15 | $7 | +$1 | +11% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 15 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 13 | $17 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 13 | $3 | $0 | +12% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 12 | $28 | −$2 | -8% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 10 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | Jun 10 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 9? | Jun 09 | $34 | +$1 | +3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 09 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 8? | Jun 08 | $38 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | Dec 15 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June? | Dec 15 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 60-65% of the vote in the South Korea election? | Jun 05 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 06 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Apr 26 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 61°F or higher on March 24? | Mar 23 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon tweet 600-624 times March 21-28? | Mar 23 | $2 | +$2 | +83% |
| Will Atalanta win the Serie A? | Mar 22 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election? | Mar 21 | $15 | $0 | -1% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting? | Mar 21 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 17 | $2 | $0 | -9% |
| Will another team have the highest Constructor score at the Australian | Mar 17 | $15 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $89000 and $91000 on Mar 14? | Mar 15 | $14 | $0 | +2% |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? | Mar 12 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference? | Mar 11 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 10 | $15 | $0 | -0% |