Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:39:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AF
0xaf37…3f73
crypto · 853 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,721 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,721 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,721
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses392 / 461
Open positions0
Markets (closed)853 / 853
History coverage29d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day101.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 853 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$519
7 days−$684
14 days−$600
30 days−$1,721
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $53 +$103 +195%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$30 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $42 −$40 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $63 −$63 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $133 +$59 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $36 +$35 +96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $48 +$66 +138%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$63 +239%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$6 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $57 −$38 -67%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $79 −$26 -33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$18 +57%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $44 −$9 -20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$11 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $46 −$46 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$21 -45%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $57 −$22 -39%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $72 +$12 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $36 +$12 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$3 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$36 +182%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$30 +96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $60 −$9 -16%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $39 −$39 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$32 +63%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$11 +27%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$57 +156%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$2 -4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$37 +119%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $42 +$37 +87%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$24 +115%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,714
other 0% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $143 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 22¢ $13 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $21 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $32 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $10 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $11 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $11 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $11 12m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $31 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $65 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $20 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $30 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $61 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $21 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $21 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $65 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $21 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $21 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $11 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $10 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $11 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $31 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $71 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $10 26m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $26 27m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $114 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $6 32m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $5 33m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-22.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 149 -18.1% -25.9% 36% 33% -20.9%
≤30d 853 -13.9% -22.1% 46% 40% -17.9%
≤90d 853 -13.9% -22.1% 46% 40% -17.9%
all 853 -13.9% -22.1% 46% 40% -17.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover101.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.1% 40% -17.9%
10% ← realistic here -29.6% 33% -25.8%
15% -36.4% 27% -32.9%
20% -42.6% 22% -39.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records