Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:10:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AF
0xaf28…b40e
crypto · 1038 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$3,428 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,428 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,428
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses562 / 476
Est. fees paid−$12
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1038 / 1038
History coverage30d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day82.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1038 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$33
7 days−$722
14 days−$3,913
30 days−$3,552
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 91¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $26 +$2 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $46 +$5 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$6 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +76%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$3 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$2 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$3 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $47 +$4 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$12 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $45 +$4 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $28 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$5 +65%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$6 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$9 -40%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -53%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$3,951
sports 1% +$523
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $1 40m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $26 50m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $46 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $7 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $11 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $11 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $11 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $6 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $7 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $20 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $12 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $26 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $25 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $47 5h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $11 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $13 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $11 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-17.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 477 -16.6% -24.6% 61% 20% -15.4%
≤30d 1008 -9.5% -18.1% 53% 33% -20.2%
≤90d 1038 -8.8% -17.5% 54% 34% -19.5%
all 1038 -8.8% -17.5% 54% 34% -19.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover82.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.5% 34% -19.5%
10% ← realistic here -25.4% 31% -27.2%
15% -32.6% 28% -34.3%
20% -39.2% 25% -40.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.26 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records