trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | no closed markets | |||||
| all | 16 | -29.2% | -35.9% | 44% | 38% | -31.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -35.9% | 38% | -31.1% |
| 10% | -42.0% | 31% | -37.7% |
| 15% | -47.6% | 19% | -43.7% |
| 20% | -52.8% | 12% | -49.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | No | 7¢ | 4¢ | $210 | $132 | −$78 (-37%) |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 3¢ | 3¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-21%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner | Dec 14 | $100 | +$49 | +49% |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 3 Winner | Dec 14 | $20 | +$24 | +122% |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5) | Dec 14 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Dec 14 | $127 | +$29 | +23% |
| Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3) | Dec 13 | $70 | −$70 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner | Dec 13 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3) | Dec 13 | $52 | +$18 | +35% |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Dec 13 | $55 | $0 | -0% |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) | Dec 12 | $28 | +$23 | +83% |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13? | Dec 10 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Dec 07 | $24 | −$23 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET | Dec 04 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will the Monad public sale commitments be greater than $2B? | Nov 23 | $100 | +$2 | +2% |
| Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $400M and $600M? | Nov 23 | $164 | −$4 | -2% |
| Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.4B and $1.6B? | Nov 18 | $1 | $0 | +21% |
| Will the Monad public sale commitments be less than $400M? | Nov 17 | $211 | −$211 | -100% |