trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $3 | −$3 | -84% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $5 | +$13 | +250% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $12 | +$5 | +42% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$18 | +173% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $5 | +$8 | +156% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $4 | −$4 | -98% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 06 | $10 | −$3 | -33% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 03 | $10 | −$1 | -8% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | Jun 02 | $2 | +$1 | +49% |
| Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharks | Jun 02 | $4 | −$4 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET | Jun 02 | $2 | −$1 | -49% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET | Jun 02 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | Jun 02 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET | Jun 02 | $2 | +$1 | +65% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | Jun 02 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | Jun 02 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | Jun 02 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +48.1% | +34.0% | 57% | 57% | +55.2% |
| ≤30d | 19 | -20.6% | -28.1% | 32% | 32% | -10.4% |
| ≤90d | 19 | -20.6% | -28.1% | 32% | 32% | -10.4% |
| all | 19 | -20.6% | -28.1% | 32% | 32% | -10.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -28.1% | 32% | -10.4% |
| 10% | -35.0% | 32% | -19.0% |
| 15% | -41.3% | 32% | -26.8% |
| 20% | -47.0% | 21% | -34.0% |