trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +45.8% | +31.9% | 100% | 100% | +31.9% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +63.2% | +47.6% | 100% | 100% | +45.6% |
| ≤90d | 14 | +30.5% | +18.1% | 57% | 57% | +29.0% |
| all | 23 | +37.5% | +24.4% | 57% | 52% | +25.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +24.4% | 52% | +25.6% |
| 10% | +12.5% | 48% | +13.5% |
| 15% | +1.6% | 43% | +2.6% |
| 20% | -8.3% | 35% | -7.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 77¢ | 76¢ | $15 | $15 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 18¢ | $10 | $13 | +$3 (+25%) |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 69¢ | 68¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 15¢ | 13¢ | $6 | $5 | −$1 (-12%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $10 | +$5 | +50% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $10 | +$4 | +42% |
| Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? | May 29 | $4 | +$4 | +78% |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 27 | $10 | +$8 | +83% |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship? | May 17 | $5 | +$1 | +26% |
| Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? | May 17 | $3 | +$2 | +67% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 05 | $9 | −$5 | -63% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 14 | $18 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 13 | $14 | +$26 | +194% |
| Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Apr 07 | $39 | +$29 | +75% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | Apr 07 | $21 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Mar 25 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Mar 23 | $5 | −$1 | -19% |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Mar 19 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| World Cup game relocated away from Mexico? | Mar 18 | $13 | −$6 | -50% |
| Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Mar 18 | $5 | −$1 | -20% |
| Will the Bills win the AFC Championship? | Feb 08 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jan 26 | $5 | +$1 | +22% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Jan 26 | $5 | +$10 | +191% |
| Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship? | Jan 26 | $10 | +$15 | +157% |
| Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship? | Jan 26 | $6 | +$14 | +239% |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | Jan 14 | $6 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship? | Jan 13 | $9 | −$1 | -7% |