Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:12:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AE
0xaed7…92d3
crypto · 1060 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$327 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$327 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$327
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses659 / 401
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1060 / 1060
History coverage24d
Avg bet$84
Trades / day111.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1060 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$34
7 days−$37
14 days−$32
30 days−$327
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $17 −$5 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $18 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $15 −$3 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $21 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $19 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $21 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $12 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $18 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $19 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +62%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$327
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $6 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $6 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $6 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $6 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $6 14h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 14h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 224 -1.5% -10.9% 47% 23% -11.1%
≤30d 1060 -0.4% -9.9% 62% 5% -9.9%
≤90d 1060 -0.4% -9.9% 62% 5% -9.9%
all 1060 -0.4% -9.9% 62% 5% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover111.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 5% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 3% -18.5%
15% -26.4% 2% -26.4%
20% -33.6% 2% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records