trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -8.7% | -17.4% | 0% | 0% | -17.4% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +17.9% | +6.7% | 50% | 50% | -21.1% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 45% | 45% | -31.9% |
| all | 27 | -11.9% | -20.3% | 37% | 33% | -15.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.3% | 33% | -15.8% |
| 10% | -27.9% | 22% | -23.9% |
| 15% | -34.9% | 22% | -31.2% |
| 20% | -41.3% | 15% | -38.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 19¢ | 19¢ | $54 | $55 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 15¢ | 15¢ | $52 | $52 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $188 | −$16 | -9% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 16 | $86 | +$46 | +53% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | Jun 14 | $42 | +$44 | +104% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 07 | $180 | −$137 | -76% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET | Apr 21 | $95 | +$85 | +89% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | Apr 16 | $47 | +$49 | +105% |
| Will Tiger Woods play in the 2026 Masters Tournament? | Apr 13 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Will Iran strike Turkey in March? | Apr 05 | $172 | −$166 | -96% |
| Will Solana dip to $80 in March? | Mar 29 | $14 | +$2 | +12% |
| Will Solana reach $100 in March? | Mar 27 | $231 | −$163 | -71% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | Mar 26 | $53 | −$6 | -11% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026? | Mar 25 | $51 | −$46 | -91% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Mar 24 | $88 | +$6 | +7% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Mar 19 | $126 | +$60 | +47% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Mar 13 | $80 | +$10 | +12% |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | Mar 13 | $25 | −$12 | -50% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March? | Mar 12 | $89 | −$61 | -69% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March? | Mar 10 | $95 | +$15 | +16% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | Mar 09 | $101 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15? | Mar 09 | $349 | −$22 | -6% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Mar 08 | $433 | +$214 | +49% |
| Will Iran strike Syria in March? | Mar 07 | $24 | −$8 | -33% |
| Will Iran strike Pakistan in March? | Mar 07 | $12 | −$2 | -14% |
| Will Iran strike Afghanistan in March? | Mar 07 | $6 | −$3 | -46% |
| Will Iran strike Cyprus in March? | Mar 07 | $54 | −$32 | -60% |
| Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7? | Mar 06 | $33 | −$27 | -82% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Mar 03 | $20 | $0 | -0% |