trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 19 | -1.9% | -11.3% | 5% | 0% | -9.8% |
| all | 19 | -1.9% | -11.3% | 5% | 0% | -9.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.3% | 0% | -9.8% |
| 10% | -19.7% | 0% | -18.4% |
| 15% | -27.5% | 0% | -26.3% |
| 20% | -34.6% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ashlyn Krueger be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | Jun 23 | $1,046 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 23 | $54 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 23 | $1,080 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Jun 23 | $995 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June? | Apr 22 | $17 | −$2 | -9% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | Apr 22 | $40 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Romania win Eurovision 2026? | Apr 17 | $5 | $0 | -8% |
| Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Apr 16 | $13 | $0 | -3% |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | Apr 16 | $192 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian president | Apr 16 | $187 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30? | Apr 16 | $190 | −$2 | -1% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 16 | $18 | $0 | -3% |
| Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Apr 11 | $4 | $0 | -9% |
| Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Apr 01 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 01 | $21 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Apr 01 | $45 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 26? | Mar 26 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in April 2026? | Mar 26 | $144 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 26 | $33 | $0 | -0% |