trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -0.6% | -10.1% | 0% | 0% | -10.6% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 33% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 33% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 27 | -3.5% | -12.7% | 48% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.7% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -21.1% | 0% | -18.4% |
| 15% | -28.7% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -35.7% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 18 | $48 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $2 | $0 | -0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 07 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 06 | $62 | $0 | -1% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 05 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 05 | $121 | $0 | +0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 04 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 03 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 03 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 15 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Alexander Zverev win Wimbledon 2025? | Jun 23 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025? | Jun 22 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025? | Jun 22 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| US military action against Iran before July? | Jun 21 | $6 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Inter Milan win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Jun 21 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump deport 1,250,000-1,500,000 people? | Jun 20 | $12 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026? | May 18 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025? | May 17 | $12 | $0 | -2% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July? | May 15 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 13 | $13 | +$1 | +7% |
| Dogecoin above $0.17 on March 28? | Mar 29 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on March 25? | Mar 27 | $14 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 25 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet less than 400 times March 14-21? | Mar 20 | $14 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $91000 and $93000 on Mar 14? | Mar 15 | $15 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Feyenoord or Inter Milan advance in the UCL Round of 16? | Mar 12 | $12 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 11 | $2 | $0 | -3% |