Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:33:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AE
0xaea1…08ef
crypto · 2077 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$544 +17%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$545 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$5
Realized+$545
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses1308 / 522
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1830 / 2077
Avg bet$2
Trades / day410.3
Drawdown51%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 3 History 1830 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$97
7 days+$545
14 days+$545
30 days+$545
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 62¢ 62¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 62¢ 58¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-6%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 60¢ 48¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-21%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 21, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% +$1,009
other 10% +$100
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 16m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 17m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 27m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 31m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 45m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 45m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +71%
net ROI/market (all)+6.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1830 +18.2% +6.9% 71% 71% +7.4%
≤30d 1830 +18.2% +6.9% 71% 71% +7.4%
≤90d 1830 +18.2% +6.9% 71% 71% +7.4%
all 1830 +18.2% +6.9% 71% 71% +7.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover410.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +6.9% 71% +7.4%
10% ← realistic here -3.3% 71% -2.9%
15% -12.6% 71% -12.3%
20% -21.2% 71% -20.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.68 · official $4.57 (match) · 3500 history records