Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:54:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AE
0xae7f…1761
crypto · 783 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$20 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$20 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$20
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses650 / 133
Open positions0
Markets (closed)783 / 783
History coverage159d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day6.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 783 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days+$2
14 days−$2
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +21%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 393 -0.8% -10.3% 87% 43% -9.4%
≤30d 726 -0.9% -10.4% 86% 44% -9.6%
≤90d 755 -2.4% -11.7% 84% 43% -10.3%
all 783 -2.7% -11.9% 83% 43% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.9% 43% -10.3%
10% -20.4% 16% -18.9%
15% -28.1% 6% -26.7%
20% -35.1% 3% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1529 history records