Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:58:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AE
0xae77…fa72
crypto · 1627 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,302 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,302 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,302
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses1598 / 257
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1855 / 1627
History coverage4d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day478.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 0 History 1855 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,300
7 days−$3,302
14 days−$3,302
30 days−$3,302
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 3, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 3, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $88 −$88 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% +$17
other 7% −$11
sports 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $6 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 14m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $6 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $6 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 35m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 39m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $6 55m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $6 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-21.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1855 -12.7% -21.0% 86% 0% -16.8%
≤30d 1855 -12.7% -21.0% 86% 0% -16.8%
≤90d 1855 -12.7% -21.0% 86% 0% -16.8%
all 1855 -12.7% -21.0% 86% 0% -16.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover478.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.0% 0% -16.8%
10% ← realistic here -28.6% 0% -24.7%
15% -35.5% 0% -32.0%
20% -41.8% 0% -38.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records