trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 3 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 22 | +8.6% | -1.7% | 100% | 23% | -6.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -1.7% | 23% | -6.7% |
| 10% | -11.1% | 14% | -15.6% |
| 15% | -19.7% | 5% | -23.8% |
| 20% | -27.6% | 5% | -31.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 28? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $500 | $504 | +$4 (+1%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 28? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $500 | $501 | +$1 (+0%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 28? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 28? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 28? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on June 28? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $344 | $344 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 27? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $115 | $115 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on June 28? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $36 | $36 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 27? | Jun 28 | $206 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be 91°F or below on June 27? | Jun 28 | $500 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 27? | Jun 28 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on February 1 | Feb 13 | $98 | +$14 | +14% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be 71°F or below on February 13? | Feb 13 | $135 | +$2 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on February 1 | Feb 13 | $213 | +$7 | +3% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 12? | Feb 13 | $80 | +$19 | +23% |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -7°C or below on February 1 | Feb 12 | $98 | +$2 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -5°C on February 12? | Feb 12 | $90 | +$10 | +11% |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -6°C on February 12? | Feb 12 | $143 | +$7 | +5% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 12? | Feb 12 | $161 | +$14 | +9% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 12? | Feb 12 | $250 | +$5 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C or below on February 12? | Feb 12 | $78 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 11? | Feb 11 | $21 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 11? | Feb 11 | $23 | +$7 | +28% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 11? | Feb 11 | $28 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on February 11? | Feb 11 | $797 | +$7 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 10? | Feb 10 | $12 | +$8 | +67% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 10? | Feb 10 | $19 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 10? | Feb 10 | $248 | +$6 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on February 10? | Feb 10 | $434 | +$3 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 10? | Feb 09 | $3 | $0 | +6% |