trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 10% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 10% | 0% | -9.9% |
| all | 19 | -4.7% | -13.7% | 47% | 0% | -10.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.7% | 0% | -10.0% |
| 10% | -22.0% | 0% | -18.6% |
| 15% | -29.5% | 0% | -26.5% |
| 20% | -36.4% | 0% | -33.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $40 | $40 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 4¢ | 3¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-26%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | Jun 23 | $77 | $0 | -1% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 23 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 23 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 07 | $39 | $0 | -0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 06 | $34 | −$1 | -2% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 06 | $42 | $0 | -0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 06 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 05 | $37 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 03 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | Jun 02 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 15 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025? | Jun 26 | $7 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Solana dip to $80 in June? | Jun 07 | $8 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025? | Jun 06 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Han Dong-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 06 | $8 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 07 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 48.0% and 48.4% on March 28? | Mar 30 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Elon tweet 650 or more times March 21-28? | Mar 29 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will “Adolescence: Limited Series” be the top global Netflix show this | Mar 21 | $11 | $0 | +3% |