Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:05:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AE
0xae5e…13be
sports · 83 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$10,529 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7,513 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized+$7,513
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses58 / 24
Whale WR (big bets)95%
Est. fees paid−$7,796
Open positions1
Markets (closed)82 / 83
History coverage7d
Avg bet$3,796
Trades / day471.1
Drawdown35%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 82 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,497
7 days+$7,463
14 days+$7,513
30 days+$7,513
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 78¢ 56¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-28%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $814 +$23 +3%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 14 $2,000 +$100 +5%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $5,373 +$143 +3%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $2,950 +$74 +2%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $4,600 +$93 +2%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $1,307 +$70 +5%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $6,108 +$154 +2%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $900 +$50 +6%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $8,960 +$127 +1%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $3,850 +$50 +1%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $10,973 +$145 +1%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $3,750 +$50 +1%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $8,280 +$313 +4%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $87 −$87 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $203 +$6 +3%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $12,375 −$587 -5%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $365 +$135 +37%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $24 +$1 +4%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1,380 +$30 +2%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $19,146 +$567 +3%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $7,484 +$75 +1%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $2,970 +$30 +1%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1,800 +$30 +2%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $960 +$18 +2%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $4,073 +$77 +2%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $2,922 +$38 +1%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $2,547 +$36 +1%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $27,235 +$355 +1%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $1,000 +$50 +5%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $90 −$90 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 13 $87 −$87 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $81 +$219 +270%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $156 +$144 +92%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $90 −$90 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $96 +$204 +212%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $63 −$63 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $24,914 +$462 +2%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $120 −$120 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $5,171 +$29 +1%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $195 +$105 +54%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $10,532 +$917 +9%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $2,408 −$1,296 -54%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $111 −$111 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $108 −$108 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $195 −$195 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $160 −$160 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $351 −$351 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $159 +$141 +89%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $126 +$174 +138%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $275 +$95 +34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$7,512
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Top Esports 42¢ $25 3m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Top Esports 21¢ $6 5m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Top Esports 21¢ $10 5m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Top Esports 21¢ $1 6m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Top Esports 21¢ $1 8m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Top Esports 21¢ $8 9m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Top Esports 21¢ $1 9m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Top Esports 21¢ $3 10m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Top Esports 21¢ $53 12m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Top Esports 41¢ $93 12m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Top Esports 41¢ $59 12m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Top Esports 41¢ $3 12m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports 40¢ $23 13m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Top Esports 41¢ $7 13m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Top Esports 41¢ $222 13m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Top Esports 41¢ $371 13m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Top Esports 21¢ $669 13m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports 40¢ $65 13m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports 40¢ $6 14m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Top Esports 21¢ $2 14m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Top Esports 21¢ $3 14m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Top Esports 21¢ $5 14m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Top Esports 41¢ $7 14m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports 40¢ $20 14m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Top Esports 21¢ $2 15m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Top Esports 21¢ $2 15m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports 40¢ $67 16m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Top Esports 21¢ $10 16m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Top Esports 21¢ $2 16m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Top Esports 21¢ $10 16m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-18.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 81 -10.3% -18.8% 70% 16% -7.1%
≤30d 82 -10.1% -18.7% 71% 16% -7.1%
≤90d 82 -10.1% -18.7% 71% 16% -7.1%
all 82 -10.1% -18.7% 71% 16% -7.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover471.1 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.7% 16% -7.1%
10% -26.5% 16% -16.0%
15% ← realistic here -33.6% 13% -24.1%
20% -40.1% 11% -31.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.57 · official $2.57 (match) · 3500 history records