Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:41:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AE
0xae5b…0a8c
tech · 36 markets active 10d ago
0.5score
+$44,973 +25%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$44,973 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY tech specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$44,973
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses11 / 26
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)37 / 36
Avg bet$5,056
Trades / day8.9
Drawdown28%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 0 History 37 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$333
7 days−$333
14 days−$332
30 days−$332
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $92 $0 −$92 (-100%)
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $76 $0 −$76 (-100%)
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $2,720 $0 −$2,720 (-100%)
Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31? No 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Microsoft be the most valuable company on October 31? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 1¢ 0¢ $126 $0 −$126 (-100%)
Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $678 $0 −$678 (-100%)
Will Apple be the most valuable company on October 31? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Will NVIDIA be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $918 $0 −$918 (-100%)
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $85 $0 −$85 (-100%)
Will Apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $7,127 $0 −$7,127 (-100%)
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on Augus Jun 12 $76 −$333 -438%
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on Jun 02 $2 +$1 +42%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on De Jan 02 $4,099 −$2,462 -60%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb Dec 10 $13,247 −$829 -6%
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap o Dec 10 $35 −$35 -100%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Novemb Nov 25 $92 −$92 -100%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb Nov 23 $3,316 −$3,048 -92%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Dec Nov 22 $2,978 −$2,605 -88%
Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31? Oct 31 $1,089 −$5 -0%
Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31? Oct 31 $720 −$719 -100%
Will Microsoft be the most valuable company on October 31? Oct 30 $138 −$22 -16%
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market ca Oct 29 $376 −$321 -85%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem Oct 28 $9,605 +$8,388 +87%
Will Apple be the most valuable company on October 31? Oct 28 $116 −$72 -63%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on No Oct 20 $52 −$52 -100%
Will NVIDIA be the second most valuable company on October 31? Oct 09 $39 −$6 -16%
Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Oct 01 $4 +$155 +3784%
Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market ca Oct 01 $8,776 +$4,843 +55%
Will Apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on Sep 30 $10,490 −$6,635 -63%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Septe Sep 23 $2,110 −$116 -6%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Se Sep 22 $615 −$439 -71%
Will NVIDIA be the second largest company in the world by market cap o Sep 19 $18 −$18 -100%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Septem Sep 16 $50 −$23 -47%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Augus Sep 01 $15,797 +$2,932 +19%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Au Aug 27 $5,030 −$2,361 -47%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August Aug 20 $6,046 −$5,518 -91%
Will Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on Augus Aug 20 $1,598 −$1,580 -99%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 3 Jul 31 $40 +$12 +30%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July Jul 31 $11,955 −$228 -2%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ju Jul 31 $7,808 −$2,231 -29%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ju Jun 30 $23,993 +$2,872 +12%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June Jun 30 $25,137 +$39,522 +157%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 Jun 28 $55 +$78 +141%
Major cyberattack on Iran in June? Jun 21 $72 $0 -0%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31 Jun 01 $127 −$121 -96%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 3 Jun 01 $14,425 +$4,760 +33%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ma Jun 01 $11,963 +$11,281 +94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
tech 98% +$47,755
other 2% −$2,450
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on SELL Yes 62¢ $3 9d
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on BUY Yes 42¢ $2 10d
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb SELL Yes 9¢ $1 183d
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap o BUY Yes 2¢ $29 183d
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap o BUY Yes 2¢ $6 183d
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb SELL Yes 6¢ $51 185d
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb BUY Yes 11¢ $5 199d
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb BUY Yes 11¢ $101 199d
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb BUY Yes 11¢ $1 199d
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb BUY Yes 10¢ $15 199d
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb BUY Yes 10¢ $41 199d
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Novemb BUY Yes 2¢ $0 199d
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Novemb BUY Yes 2¢ $7 199d
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Novemb BUY Yes 2¢ $11 199d
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on SELL Yes 81¢ $9 199d
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on SELL Yes 83¢ $205 199d
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb BUY Yes 10¢ $14 199d
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb BUY Yes 10¢ $5 199d
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb BUY Yes 10¢ $2 199d
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb BUY Yes 10¢ $118 199d
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb BUY Yes 10¢ $34 199d
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb BUY Yes 10¢ $14 199d
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on SELL Yes 84¢ $324 199d
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb BUY Yes 11¢ $4 199d
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb BUY Yes 11¢ $6 199d
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb BUY Yes 11¢ $15 199d
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb BUY Yes 9¢ $2 199d
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb BUY Yes 13¢ $17 199d
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb BUY Yes 13¢ $1 199d
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb BUY Yes 12¢ $1 199d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)+55.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 1 +42.1% +28.5% 100% 100% +28.5%
≤90d 1 +42.1% +28.5% 100% 100% +28.5%
all 37 +72.2% +55.8% 30% 30% +18.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.9 tr/day
realistic slip~14%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +55.8% 30% +18.3%
10% ← realistic here +40.9% 27% +7.0%
15% +27.3% 22% -3.3%
20% +14.8% 19% -12.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records