trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 57% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 57% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 16 | -5.8% | -14.8% | 62% | 6% | -10.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.8% | 6% | -10.9% |
| 10% | -22.9% | 6% | -19.4% |
| 15% | -30.4% | 6% | -27.2% |
| 20% | -37.2% | 6% | -34.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 18 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 17 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 26 | $51 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 26 | $19 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 25 | $40 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 25 | $22 | $0 | -1% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 24 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 10 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 10 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | Dec 10 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%? | May 22 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian electio | Apr 21 | $4 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Bayern Munich win the Bundesliga? | Mar 20 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| South Alabama vs. Arkansas State | Mar 05 | $3 | +$3 | +100% |
| Gonzaga vs. Washington State | Mar 05 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |