Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T05:05:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
AE 0xae34…8e79 crypto 75 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (93 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$3 (+1%) realized +$3 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR19%break-even
Win rate67%50W / 25L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day93.0pace
Kalshi-fit65%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 60% +$2
other 40% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (93 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-17.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 75 -8.5% -17.2% 67% 19% -9.5%
≤30d 75 -8.5% -17.2% 67% 19% -9.5%
≤90d 75 -8.5% -17.2% 67% 19% -9.5%
all 75 -8.5% -17.2% 67% 19% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover93.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.2% 19% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -25.1% 11% -18.1%
15% -32.3% 5% -26.0%
20% -39.0% 5% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 24% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
68% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +8% → late -25% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.51 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.01 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses50 / 25
Open positions0
Markets (closed)75 / 75
History coverage1d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day93.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit65%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 75 Trades
no open positions (20 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$4 +425%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +10%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +11%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +25%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +23%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$3 -24%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $13 +$2 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $14 +$2 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +31%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $13 +$2 +18%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 51m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $0 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $0 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 5h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 148 history records