Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:53:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AE
0xae0f…95f3
crypto · 1439 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$44 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$44 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$44
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses1367 / 72
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1439 / 1439
History coverage30d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day48.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1439 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days−$20
14 days−$43
30 days−$48
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 09 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 08 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 08 $7 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 08 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 08 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 08 $7 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 08 $7 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 08 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 08 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 08 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 08 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 08 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 08 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 08 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 07 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 07 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 07 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 07 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 07 $6 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$42
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $7 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $7 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $7 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $7 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $7 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $7 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $7 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $7 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $7 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $7 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $7 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $7 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $7 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $7 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $7 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $7 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $7 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $7 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $7 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $6 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $6 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $6 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $6 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 59 -5.3% -14.4% 90% 3% -14.3%
≤30d 1422 -0.7% -10.2% 95% 1% -10.1%
≤90d 1439 -0.6% -10.1% 95% 1% -10.0%
all 1439 -0.6% -10.1% 95% 1% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover48.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 1% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 0% -18.7%
15% -26.6% 0% -26.5%
20% -33.8% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records