trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +37.1% | +24.0% | 57% | 57% | +22.4% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +37.1% | +24.0% | 57% | 57% | +22.4% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +37.1% | +24.0% | 57% | 57% | +22.4% |
| all | 10 | +14.7% | +3.8% | 50% | 50% | -25.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +3.8% | 50% | -25.5% |
| 10% | -6.2% | 40% | -32.6% |
| 15% | -15.2% | 40% | -39.1% |
| 20% | -23.5% | 20% | -45.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Yes | 18¢ | 20¢ | $50 | $54 | +$4 (+8%) |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Yes | 21¢ | 14¢ | $50 | $35 | −$15 (-31%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $51 | +$25 | +50% |
| Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $50 | +$23 | +46% |
| Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $101 | −$3 | -3% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $101 | −$94 | -93% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $31 | +$84 | +272% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $61 | +$57 | +94% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 5? | Mar 05 | $500 | −$500 | -100% |
| Bitway FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Mar 03 | $800 | +$90 | +11% |
| Bitway FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Mar 03 | $100 | −$24 | -24% |