trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 14% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 27% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 27% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 22 | -1.0% | -10.4% | 50% | 0% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.4% | 0% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -19.0% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.8% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -34.0% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $32 | $0 | -0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 14 | $31 | +$1 | +2% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 13 | $33 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 13 | $35 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 12 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 10 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 09 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 08 | $33 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 06 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 05 | $71 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 04 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | Dec 13 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Meta buy TikTok? | Jun 26 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election? | Jun 05 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by next Tuesday? | May 15 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Apr 24 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76000 on Apr 18? | Apr 17 | $11 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Marco Rubio be out as Secretary of State in Trump's first 100 day | Apr 16 | $1 | $0 | -36% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by March 31? | Mar 29 | $13 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Elon tweet 575-599 times March 21-28? | Mar 25 | $13 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 14-21? | Mar 21 | $14 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in his first 100 days? | Mar 17 | $13 | $0 | +0% |