Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:21:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AD
0xadf7…d90f
sports · 114 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$69 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$11 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$115
Realized+$11
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses54 / 56
Est. fees paid−$58
Open positions4
Markets (closed)110 / 114
History coverage30d
Avg bet$54
Trades / day5.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 4 History 110 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$122
7 days−$73
14 days−$18
30 days+$40
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parks Tessa Brockmann 80¢ 77¢ $50 $48 −$2 (-4%)
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Eintracht Spandau 19¢ 20¢ $30 $31 +$1 (+3%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $20 $23 +$3 (+16%)
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs UCAM Esports Club 10¢ 6¢ $20 $13 −$7 (-35%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Sho Shimabukuro 55¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec Veronika Erjavec 46¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Cloud9 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Frances Tiafoe 47¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas 70¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Cloud9 15¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs GIANTX 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Elena Rybakina 80¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Forsaken 37¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24? No 43¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Shopify Rebellion 9¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 4 Winner Galions 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Birmingham: Elias Ymer vs Christopher O'Connell Christopher OConnell 56¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner Shopify Rebellion 23¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $50 +$15 +29%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 13 $20 +$70 +344%
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano Jun 13 $20 +$5 +23%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic Jun 13 $50 +$3 +6%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec Jun 13 $51 −$50 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $20 +$3 +13%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $51 +$58 +114%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 12 $51 −$50 -99%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Jun 12 $50 +$17 +34%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $50 −$50 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 12 $51 −$50 -99%
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 12 $51 +$46 +90%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 12 $51 −$50 -98%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $51 −$50 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $51 +$34 +67%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 12 $123 −$120 -98%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $21 +$124 +602%
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Jun 12 $51 +$32 +63%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $30 +$11 +36%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $51 −$50 -99%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $31 −$30 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$9 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$6 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $76 −$15 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $156 −$115 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $126 +$16 +13%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $51 −$50 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $100 +$7 +7%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $21 −$20 -97%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $31 −$30 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $102 +$168 +165%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $101 +$65 +65%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $51 +$38 +74%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 10 $21 −$20 -97%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 10 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 10 $25 +$6 +22%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Jun 10 $251 +$53 +21%
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Christopher O'Connell Jun 10 $20 +$26 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 10 $20 +$5 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $20 +$9 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 10 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 10 $21 +$20 +97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 57% −$225
other 30% +$285
crypto 13% −$54
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs BUY Eintracht Spandau 19¢ $31 1h
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs BUY UCAM Esports Club 10¢ $21 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 77¢ $50 12h
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano BUY Jacob Fearnley 81¢ $20 21h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec BUY Veronika Erjavec 46¢ $51 21h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa BUY Katarzyna Kawa 22¢ $20 21h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic BUY Emma Raducanu 94¢ $50 21h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa BUY Tessa Brockmann 80¢ $50 23h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Team Falcons 100¢ $23 23h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $10 25h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $10 25h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 88¢ $20 25h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 65¢ $51 41h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $51 41h
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 19¢ $10 42h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Forsaken 1¢ $1 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $2 44h
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson BUY Laura Samson 74¢ $50 44h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 80¢ $50 44h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Sho Shimabukuro 55¢ $51 44h
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri SELL Francesco Forti 100¢ $97 44h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Anubis Gaming 28¢ $51 45h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner BUY Forsaken 37¢ $51 45h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Aurora Gaming 28¢ $86 45h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY WLGaming Esports 15¢ $103 45h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner SELL WLGaming Esports 100¢ $144 45h
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez SELL Johan Alexander Rodriguez 100¢ $83 45h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Iva Jovic 100¢ $41 46h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY WLGaming Esports 14¢ $21 46h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $51 46h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-19.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 -4.6% -13.7% 56% 44% -12.0%
≤30d 108 -10.2% -18.8% 49% 43% -8.9%
≤90d 110 -10.9% -19.4% 49% 42% -9.3%
all 110 -10.9% -19.4% 49% 42% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.4% 42% -9.3%
10% -27.1% 36% -18.0%
15% -34.2% 27% -25.9%
20% -40.6% 23% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $115.11 · official $115.11 (match) · 196 history records