Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:51:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AD
0xadef…02cc
other · 15 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$12,736 +90%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$13,503 · open −$767
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$5,599
Realized+$13,503
Unrealized−$767
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses6 / 8
Est. fees paid−$266
Open positions3
Markets (closed)14 / 15
History coverage2d
Avg bet$944
Trades / day64.6
Drawdown8%
Kalshi-fit27%
Chart Positions 3 History 14 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6,415
7 days+$13,503
14 days+$13,503
30 days+$13,503
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Yes 34¢ 100¢ $1,200 $3,501 +$2,301 (+192%)
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Yes 33¢ 100¢ $495 $1,500 +$1,005 (+203%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels 75¢ 84¢ $375 $418 +$42 (+11%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 30¢ 100¢ $30 $100 +$70 (+233%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes $840 $78 −$762 (-91%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes $50 $2 −$48 (-95%)
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? Yes 10¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? Yes 25¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 South Africa? Yes $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5 Yes 51¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa? Yes 15¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 36¢ $621 $0 −$621 (-100%)
Korea Republic leading at halftime? Yes 29¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5 Jun 13 $6 −$11 -200%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 13 $621 −$1,243 -200%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 13 $1,223 +$4,602 +376%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 13 $505 +$2,010 +398%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 13 $30 +$140 +467%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? Jun 13 $51 −$100 -195%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? Jun 13 $100 −$200 -200%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 South Africa? Jun 13 $51 −$100 -196%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa? Jun 13 $91 −$180 -198%
Korea Republic leading at halftime? Jun 13 $306 −$600 -196%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5,178 +$1,519 +29%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $512 +$588 +115%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $4,809 +$7,088 +147%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 59% +$4,897
sports 41% +$9,093
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 75¢ $228 26m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 75¢ $11 26m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 75¢ $113 26m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 75¢ $3 26m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 75¢ $15 26m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 75¢ $6 27m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes $1 1h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes $1 1h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? SELL Yes $0 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 98¢ $12 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 98¢ $2,858 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 98¢ $865 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 98¢ $97 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 98¢ $9 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 98¢ $218 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 98¢ $48 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 98¢ $48 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 98¢ $5 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 98¢ $2,539 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 99¢ $3,751 1h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes $50 1h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes $1 1h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes $51 1h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes $1 1h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes $0 1h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes $8 1h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes $0 1h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes $0 1h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes $0 1h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)+38.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 +53.5% +38.8% 43% 43% +89.5%
≤30d 14 +53.5% +38.8% 43% 43% +89.5%
≤90d 14 +53.5% +38.8% 43% 43% +89.5%
all 14 +53.5% +38.8% 43% 43% +89.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover64.6 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +38.8% 43% +89.5%
10% +25.6% 43% +71.3%
15% ← realistic here +13.4% 36% +54.8%
20% +2.3% 36% +39.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5,598.83 · official $5,598.83 (match) · 3500 history records