trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $13 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $14 | −$2 | -18% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | -14% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $1 | +$1 | +57% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $11 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $16 | +$2 | +11% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | -28% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $1 | +$1 | +97% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $8 | +$10 | +125% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $17 | −$10 | -56% |
| Tyler: Andres Martin vs Blake Ellis | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $11 | +$3 | +23% |
| ITF Sumter: Kristina Liutova vs Reese Brantmeier | Jun 07 | $1 | +$1 | +57% |
| Will Cyprus win on 2026-06-07? | Jun 07 | $5 | +$1 | +29% |
| HSBC Championships, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Aoi Ito | Jun 07 | $101 | $0 | +0% |
| Foggia: Varvara Lepchenko vs Tyra Caterina Grant | Jun 03 | $5 | +$3 | +49% |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins | Jun 03 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays | Jun 03 | $5 | $0 | +5% |
| Perugia: Moez Echargui vs Chun-Hsin Tseng | Jun 02 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Birmingham: Jacob Fearnley vs Rinky Hijikata | Jun 02 | $201 | +$21 | +10% |
| Centurion 2: Sidharth Rawat vs Edward Winter | Jun 02 | $100 | $0 | -0% |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies | Jun 01 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | May 31 | $1 | $0 | +5% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta | May 31 | $1 | −$1 | -55% |
| Will the US strike Iran next? | Feb 12 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 46% | 38% | -12.5% |
| ≤30d | 25 | +4.2% | -5.7% | 64% | 32% | -5.8% |
| ≤90d | 25 | +4.2% | -5.7% | 64% | 32% | -5.8% |
| all | 26 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 62% | 31% | -6.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.4% | 31% | -6.7% |
| 10% | -18.0% | 27% | -15.6% |
| 15% | -26.0% | 19% | -23.8% |
| 20% | -33.2% | 15% | -31.3% |