Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:43:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AD
0xadd3…c19c
other · 10 markets active 2h ago
5.0score
+$2 +18%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses2 / 1
Open positions7
Markets (closed)3 / 10
History coverage11d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day1.1
Drawdown59%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 7 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? Yes 92¢ 90¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 11¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 58¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-13%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +101%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +165%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $1 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $2 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 49¢ $1 24h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 24h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $3 24h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 92¢ $2 5d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $1 5d
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 5d
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 11d
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 11d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 11d
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 11d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+40.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +55.1% +40.4% 67% 67% +41.2%
≤30d 3 +55.1% +40.4% 67% 67% +41.2%
≤90d 3 +55.1% +40.4% 67% 67% +41.2%
all 3 +55.1% +40.4% 67% 67% +41.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +40.4% 67% +41.2%
10% +26.9% 67% +27.7%
15% +14.7% 67% +15.4%
20% +3.4% 67% +4.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.92 · official $7.92 (match) · 12 history records