Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:46:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AD
0xadd3…0447
crypto · 143 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$252 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$202 · open +$51
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$164
Realized+$202
Unrealized+$51
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses62 / 79
Whale WR (big bets)47%
Open positions2
Markets (closed)141 / 143
History coverage1d
Avg bet$424
Trades / day2440.0
Drawdown82%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 141 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$202
7 days+$202
14 days+$202
30 days+$202
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 58¢ 54¢ $75 $68 −$6 (-8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Up 59¢ 56¢ $47 $45 −$3 (-6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 0¢ 46¢ $0 $29 +$29 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 0¢ 44¢ $0 $22 +$22 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $397 −$12 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1,590 −$41 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $326 −$9 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $777 −$29 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $942 +$55 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $533 −$27 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $737 −$10 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $264 +$10 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $434 +$13 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $778 −$4 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $43 +$12 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $1,061 −$16 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $531 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $281 +$17 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $73 +$20 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $468 +$12 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1,264 +$48 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $387 −$13 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $237 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $472 +$23 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $201 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $734 +$31 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $472 −$4 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $245 −$9 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $1,290 +$51 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $148 −$3 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $769 −$69 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $343 −$25 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $186 −$57 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $991 +$38 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $66 +$6 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $338 −$29 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $690 +$16 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $94 +$11 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $367 −$9 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $874 +$52 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $396 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $66 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $231 +$36 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $780 −$21 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $765 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $108 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $305 +$8 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $119 −$11 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $879 −$12 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $134 −$14 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $151 −$60 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $1,334 −$10 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $212 +$39 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $694 −$11 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$252
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $62 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $47 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $18 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $15 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $18 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $7 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $7 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $7 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $41 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $14 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $10 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $11 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $73 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $12 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $12 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $7 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $17 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $12 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $50 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $28 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $13 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $7 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $26 3m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 141 -1.3% -10.7% 44% 11% -9.2%
≤30d 141 -1.3% -10.7% 44% 11% -9.2%
≤90d 141 -1.3% -10.7% 44% 11% -9.2%
all 141 -1.3% -10.7% 44% 11% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2440.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 11% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 6% -17.9%
15% -27.1% 4% -25.8%
20% -34.2% 1% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $163.78 · official $159.60 · 3500 history records