trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -12.6% | -20.9% | 50% | 50% | -4.8% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -12.6% | -20.9% | 50% | 50% | -4.8% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -12.6% | -20.9% | 50% | 50% | -4.8% |
| all | 17 | -33.6% | -39.9% | 35% | 35% | -42.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -39.9% | 35% | -42.3% |
| 10% | -45.6% | 35% | -47.9% |
| 15% | -50.9% | 35% | -52.9% |
| 20% | -55.7% | 35% | -57.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals | Yes | 35¢ | 46¢ | $36 | $46 | +$11 (+30%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 13¢ | $17 | $17 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $10 | $13 | +$3 (+28%) |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-7%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-7%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 5¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-8%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5 | Jun 22 | $24 | +$22 | +90% |
| Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) | Jun 21 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Spread: Belgium (-2.5) | Jun 21 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Spread: Belgium (-1.5) | Jun 21 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 21 | $9 | −$9 | -98% |
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5 | Jun 21 | $28 | +$16 | +57% |
| Spread: Japan (-1.5) | Jun 21 | $25 | +$24 | +96% |
| Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5 | Jun 20 | $20 | +$11 | +57% |
| Will Tainy perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | Feb 06 | $66 | −$66 | -100% |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Feb 06 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Will La Jumpa be played at the Super Bowl halftime show? | Feb 06 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| OpenAI browser by October 31? | Oct 20 | $39 | −$39 | -100% |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31? | Oct 08 | $19 | +$21 | +110% |
| US military action against Iran before July? | Jun 20 | $11 | +$8 | +73% |
| US recession in 2025? | Jun 18 | $24 | −$12 | -52% |
| Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-29? | May 04 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope? | Apr 26 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |