Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:43:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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0xadc3…3f22
crypto · 331 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$32 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$32 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$32
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses193 / 138
Open positions0
Markets (closed)331 / 331
History coverage106d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day7.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 331 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$72
14 days−$39
30 days−$38
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$6 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$6 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$3 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$2 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$2 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$2 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$4 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 10 $6 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$4 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 07 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 06 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 06 $8 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 06 $5 −$4 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 06 $3 −$2 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 06 $3 +$1 +48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$32
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $9 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $6 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $7 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $6 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $7 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $6 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Down 14¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $6 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $9 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $6 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $6 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Down 9¢ $0 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $6 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $6 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $6 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $6 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $6 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-16.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 111 -56.7% -60.8% 29% 23% -27.4%
≤30d 320 -9.1% -17.7% 57% 44% -14.3%
≤90d 324 -8.8% -17.5% 57% 44% -13.7%
all 331 -8.0% -16.8% 58% 45% -13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.8% 45% -13.3%
10% -24.8% 33% -21.6%
15% -32.0% 23% -29.2%
20% -38.7% 18% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 905 history records