Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:31:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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0xada9…840b
crypto · 1838 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$221 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$221 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$221
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses1248 / 590
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1838 / 1838
History coverage68d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day32.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 0 History 1838 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$11
14 days−$9
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 3, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$201
other 3% −$20
sports 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Down 5¢ $0 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 223 -3.9% -13.1% 66% 43% -11.4%
≤30d 1376 -1.0% -10.4% 61% 50% -9.4%
≤90d 1838 -1.7% -11.1% 68% 42% -12.2%
all 1838 -1.7% -11.1% 68% 42% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover32.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.1% 42% -12.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.6% 27% -20.6%
15% -27.3% 20% -28.3%
20% -34.5% 16% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records